If I can't get a 2023, I'll probably give up on the whole electric pick up thing. I don't absolutely need one, and the cost is bound to go way up. As it is, 2023 will have 3 separate price bumps from my point of view:
With the current inflation we can expect 10-15% increase in MSRP
Neither. If I can't get a Lightning within about 12 months, I'll keep my ICE truck for times when it is needed and buy a Rivian R1S or consider a Kia EV9 as my daily driver. Or maybe even wait for the Porsche Macan EV. The BMW iX looks good too. By this time next year there will be many options.