FordLightningMan
Well-known member
- Joined
- Dec 21, 2021
- Threads
- 9
- Messages
- 580
- Reaction score
- 720
- Location
- Upstate New York
- Vehicles
- F150
This is why you don't back just one horse. If I get my Lightning this year and then Cybertruck in 2024, everything is great! It's funny the truck I reserved a year earlier, will be ready a year later. Three random thoughts on selling Lightning:
- It's a huge financial commitment and has taken years of work to get the truck. In the event the truck sells for less than MSRP or slightly above, was it really worth it? Seems like there were many other ways, with lower risk, to make a few thousand dollars over two years. For decades, cars were worth substantially less the second they left the lot. That will happen again, maybe in 12-18 months, I don't think cars are a sustainable investment.
- I think that the smaller battery is an issue for resale. The truck will be absolutely amazing in 2022 and as an early adopter, there's one real competitor today. But by 2024, this launch model will seem dated, by 2026 it will be a dinosaur. So unless you flip immediately, be prepared for old school depreciation. This happens to early adopters of many products, especially new technology.
- The one saving grace for resale could be if the 2nd gen Lightning is more radically different than the current design (i.e. - Silverado EV) and there are only 150,000 1st gen trucks that look like traditional F-150s. In this case, gen 1 could be a collector's item. But if gen 2 is very similar to gen 1, but more aerodynamic, more tech, and better battery; these gen 1 Lightnings will have low demand.
- It's a huge financial commitment and has taken years of work to get the truck. In the event the truck sells for less than MSRP or slightly above, was it really worth it? Seems like there were many other ways, with lower risk, to make a few thousand dollars over two years. For decades, cars were worth substantially less the second they left the lot. That will happen again, maybe in 12-18 months, I don't think cars are a sustainable investment.
- I think that the smaller battery is an issue for resale. The truck will be absolutely amazing in 2022 and as an early adopter, there's one real competitor today. But by 2024, this launch model will seem dated, by 2026 it will be a dinosaur. So unless you flip immediately, be prepared for old school depreciation. This happens to early adopters of many products, especially new technology.
- The one saving grace for resale could be if the 2nd gen Lightning is more radically different than the current design (i.e. - Silverado EV) and there are only 150,000 1st gen trucks that look like traditional F-150s. In this case, gen 1 could be a collector's item. But if gen 2 is very similar to gen 1, but more aerodynamic, more tech, and better battery; these gen 1 Lightnings will have low demand.
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