Who Else Has Canceled Their Lightning Order

[LightningShow]

I’d probably hold it but i agree that 7 days in could be a 2024 model. There are going to be other options by 2024. I’m holding my Silverado EV reservation even though i have an order in on the Lightning. You never know what their offering will look like. I may be able to sell the Lightning for a better performing Silverado in 2024.

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[LightningShow]

I understand the frustration, but next year's production is expected to be 150,000 trucks, so your number will likely be rolling out sooner than you think.

Mine isn't scheduled for production until August, which means people will be ordering the 23s before I get mine because the 23 orders will be opening in the fall.

One thing I can say is that Ford's fully committed to EVs, so production capacity will grow very quickly.

If you pay attention to the way they’ve worded the numbers they have only said they will have *capacity* to make 150k by the beginning of 2024. They still haven’t said anything but 80k for next year, and that’s capacity not planned production. 80k should be the max expected production for 2023my and most of that will be in the second half of the year. At best, someone with a 7th day reservation can probably expect a late 2023 truck. If they are in a non-EV state, probably 2024.

 

[TaxmanHog]

Everyone's dynamics are unique, if I were in immediate need of a replacement vehicle, which I planned to make full use of ie. 5-10 years of service, I'd be wasting my time leaving the 100 bucks hanging.

For those with much shorter timelines and lesser expectations, it also makes sense to hang in there.

 

[vandy1981]

Well I could see the writing on the wall and canceled my reservation with Ford yesterday.

Your thread title is misleading because you had a reservation not an order.

That said, it seems counterproductive to cancel the reservation if you're truly interested in getting an electric truck--$100 is peanuts relative to the cost of any Lightning trim and the Lightning reservation was going to be your quickest way into a new electric truck of any make.

You're also going to be waiting a while for any consumer vehicles with SSB packs. It's certainly not going to be in the Gen2 Lightning. We're not even seeing them in phones or laptops yet and I doubt they're going to be widely available in light vehicles until 2030. Toyota has been the most vocal proponent of SSBs and I honestly think they were using it to cover up for their late, weak entry into the BEV market (i.e. they didn't feel the need to develop EVs using current lithium technology because they wanted to wait for SSBs).

 

[IdeaOfTheDayCom]

If you pay attention to the way they’ve worded the numbers they have only said they will have *capacity* to make 150k by the beginning of 2024. They still haven’t said anything but 80k for next year, and that’s capacity not planned production. 80k should be the max expected production for 2023my and most of that will be in the second half of the year. At best, someone with a 7th day reservation can probably expect a late 2023 truck. If they are in a non-EV state, probably 2024.

I agree completely, but it’s a brand new factory and when I toured the factory last month they said they’re going to double the size of the building itself by next year so other than parts shortages, they will definitely have a lot more capacity.

A bigger factor is the dealer you chose. I know for sure the dealer near me will get tons of them, but if I chose the dealer 15 miles from me, I’d be out of luck, regardless of when I reserved. That dealer will only get 3. I actually like that dealer and asked them if it would be okay to move my reservation and they said it wouldn’t change the fact that they only get 3 and all 3 were spoken for.

I’m 100% sure my dealer will have a bunch on their lots as inventory by the end of the year, and I’m sure there will be others. They’ll probably mark up the price as much as they can, but they will definitely have some on the lot, where anyone, reservation or not, can buy one this year.

 

[Roy2001]

Don't put your hope on solid state battery technology, it is far away...

But, wait for 2nd gen F150 Lightning is a good idea.

 

[Lavaorange]

I understand... sort of. OP wants the latest and greatest at time of delivery. I doubt it's the issue of the $100 as there's $150K in newer vehicles in their garage. Love the Miata BTW! If 520km's of range isn't enough or 15-80% charge capability in 40 minutes is too inconvenient or you are concerned the battery will need replacing after 300,000 kms or 15 yrs (which is unknown/unlikely) OK. Otherwise, I think the OP may be shooting themselves in the foot and have regret later. The order call would likely come sooner than one thinks. $100 is cheap insurance that's refundable later.

 

[Joe]

I agree completely, but it’s a brand new factory and when I toured the factory last month they said they’re going to double the size of the building itself by next year so other than parts shortages, they will definitely have a lot more capacity.

A bigger factor is the dealer you chose. I know for sure the dealer near me will get tons of them, but if I chose the dealer 15 miles from me, I’d be out of luck, regardless of when I reserved. That dealer will only get 3. I actually like that dealer and asked them if it would be okay to move my reservation and they said it wouldn’t change the fact that they only get 3 and all 3 were spoken for.

I’m 100% sure my dealer will have a bunch on their lots as inventory by the end of the year, and I’m sure there will be others. They’ll probably mark up the price as much as they can, but they will definitely have some on the lot, where anyone, reservation or not, can buy one this year.

Is there a way to ascertain how many a given dealer will get? I'm 10th on the list at my dealer, who only got 1 lightning for 2022MY. If there's no chance they'll get to 10 I might want to change dealerships myself...

 

[RavenYZF-R6]

Is there a way to ascertain how many a given dealer will get? I'm 10th on the list at my dealer, who only got 1 lightning for 2022MY. If there's no chance they'll get to 10 I might want to change dealerships myself...

No guaranteed way. If they’ve only gotten one invite to order so far chances are very slim for a 22my as they do clean ups or one of the first quarter 2023 imo.

 

[currybob]

It is not the $100 fee to hold the reservation.

I was hoping for a little more range, don't forget, in the winter temps that range will be noticeably less.

I just figured that is was looking like a couple of model years out and decided to step back and see where things are in 2 or 3 years. When I do make my move it will be a Ford though.

I love what I am seeing in the Lightning and envy the early birds but I was late finding out about the reservation process so here I am...

 

[Mr. Flibble]

It is not the $100 fee to hold the reservation.

I was hoping for a little more range, don't forget, in the winter temps that range will be noticeably less.

I just figured that is was looking like a couple of model years out and decided to step back and see where things are in 2 or 3 years. When I do make my move it will be a Ford though.

I love what I am seeing in the Lightning and envy the early birds but I was late finding out about the reservation process so here I am...

At the very least, you could have held it then sold it for a profit.

 

[Firestop]

I posted this on another thread, but this article appears to be germaine to this discussion…….

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/21/ele...e-at-tesla-rivian-gm-and-other-carmakers.html

 

[currybob]

At the very least, you could have held it then sold it for a profit.

Got to get one in before you can sell it. Lol

 

[Mr. Flibble]

Got to get one in before you can sell it. Lol

• Wait for lightning to arrive
• Buy lightning
• Sell lightning
• Profit!

 

[currybob]

You got me there!

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