I'm just an amateur internet detective with a high opinion of himself. Are meterologists the guys from the water company who constantly misread my water meter?It's amazing the amount of meterologists and fire professionals that exist on this one forum...
It's actually an average of 150 ICE fires a day, and an EV anywhere in the world on fire that will make the headlines, but the result is the same. I've seen two ICE vehicle fires within a mile of my lab in the last year with no media in sight, but when we had the fire department respond the other night, all the news media were there!About 600 cars catch fire every day in the US. The only ones that make national news headlines are EVs.
The problem is the battery in enclosed and underneath the vehicle, so any amount of water used would be hard pressed to cool the battery pack. This makes me think the battery is not actually in thermal runaway (remember, I send packs into thermal runaway for clients all the time).You are correct it generally is more difficult because when you have an EV battery thermal runway, the chemical reaction driving the fire is not dependent on ambient oxygen to burn, so traditional firefighting methods aimed at oxygen starvation are ineffective. However, a sufficiently large amount of water can *cool* the battery enough to stop the thermal runaway, which is it appears to be more difficult to extinguish since it needs more water resources.
The article I read stated 213,000 per year on average. But that’s all car fires including accidents and arson.It's actually an average of 150 ICE fires a day, and an EV anywhere in the world on fire that will make the headlines, but the result is the same. I've seen two ICE vehicle fires within a mile of my lab in the last year with no media in sight, but when we had the fire department respond the other night, all the news media were there!
I think the big question on everyone’s mind is in both cases (thermal runaway and high resistance …), how can it be detected and prevented early before your house burns Down?The problem is the battery in enclosed and underneath the vehicle, so any amount of water used would be hard pressed to cool the battery pack. This makes me think the battery is not actually in thermal runaway (remember, I send packs into thermal runaway for clients all the time).
Next speculation (based on previous EV fires) would be high resistance at the charge port of one of the vehicles. I know of several EV fires that started this way to include a Tesla at a Supercharger in Norway.
My numbers come from NTSHA that I had to quote in a paper about two years ago.The article I read stated 213,000 per year on average. But that’s all car fires including accidents and arson.
These are the 2018 numbers:
‘I would be curious how age of the vehicle play a part in this. If 90% ICE fires happened in vehicles older than 10 years and BEV batteries become dangerous after 10 years, the relative safety of BEV shown here is misleading since we don’t have that many of old ones out there yet. I am not saying they are not safer. Just saying with limited info you can have stats say any story you want.The article I read stated 213,000 per year on average. But that’s all car fires including accidents and arson.
These are the 2018 numbers:
Unfortunately, my lab has not investigated the high resistance at the charge port...but there has been a shake up at the lab and I might suggest it as a topic.I think the big question on everyone’s mind is in both cases (thermal runaway and high resistance …), how can it be detected and prevented early before your house burns Down?
Does a bad battery that start a thermal runaway have a higher or lower voltage than the rest (by how much)? What triggers such an event? Charging to 100%? Towing uphill in summer? ……?
In case of high resistance, does that usually happens when there is bad contact and buzzing sound? Does the handle get hot? Is it more likely happen at DCFC because contacts are used more often and there is more power involved? Or with Level 2 charging because of nature of alternating current?
You can tell I am a bit lost here and really not Interested in being prematurely barbecued.
We actually did a study on the effects on aged LMO (Volt) cells compared to fresh cells...you should be able to find the paper. We did 'safety' (all the things manufacturers tell you not to do, we do them) testing on fresh cells and then several years later, we took the cycle life and calendar life cells and subjected them to the same overcharge tests. I would suspect the same would apply to LFP and NMC cells. Sorry that I'm not allowed to link to the actual paper in this forum, but look for EssEs (Energy Storage Systems and Evolution of Safety).‘I would be curious how age of the vehicle play a part in this. If 90% ICE fires happened in vehicles older than 10 years and BEV batteries become dangerous after 10 years, the relative safety of BEV shown here is misleading since we don’t have that many of old ones out there yet. I am not saying they are not safer. Just saying with limited info you can have stats say any story you want.
Yeah, I think there are a lot of numbers that get taken out of context (like I did!). I think the one I reference includes every vehicle that burned. Think of a couple years ago when the wildfires in California swept through entire towns - hundreds of cars burned that were no fault of the car.My numbers come from NTSHA that I had to quote in a paper about two years ago.