📊 F-150 Lightning ORDERS Tracking List & Stats [Add Yours!]

[p52Ranch]

Thanks for the numbers. Could you give the total number of order for each wave as well?

These numbers come from the F150gen14 order tracker on page 1 of this thread.
There are currently 111 orders that members have input.
77 of them are wave one and 34 of them are wave 2 (As best as I can interpret. A few folks are challenged on inputting realistic order/wave dates so I had to make some assumptions).

Wave	Pro	Lariat	XLT	Platinum	Total
Wave One	25​	46​	2​	4​	77​
Percent	32%​	60%​	3%​	5%​
Wave Two		21​	12​	1​	34​
Percent		62%​	35%​	3%​
Total	25​	67​	14​	5​	111​
Percent	23%​	60%​	13%​	5%​

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[williams]

well thats odd, my dealer showed my im part of wave 2 and yet no email to build and the order tracker page has no ability to build?

 

[bmwhitetx]

Also interesting that the states getting wave 2 orders are fewer. Also looks like the ZEV states (marked with *) especially CA and NJ are getting them. Wave 2 sample is smaller so take this with a grain a salt but I see a trend. My state TX had a definite drop-off. And more that 1/3rd wave 2 was CA.

Location​	Wave 1	Wave 2	Grand Total
CA*	3	13	16
TX	9	2	11
NY*	5	3	8
NJ*	1	4	5
OH	5		5
OR*	2	3	5
NC	3	1	4
FL	3	1	4
WA*	4		4
CO*	3		3
MI	3		3
MD*	1	2	3
PA	3		3
OK	2	1	3
ID	2	1	3
IA	1	1	2
Canada - British Columbia	1	1	2
Canada - Quebec	2		2
Canada - Ontario	2		2
GA	2		2
TN	2		2
IL	2		2
VT*	2		2
IN	2		2
WI	2		2
MA*	1	1	2
ME*	2		2
NE	1		1
MO	1		1
MN	1		1
AK	1		1
KY	1		1
AL	1		1
VA	1		1
Grand Total	77	34	111

 

[sotek2345]

Does anyone have a theory as to why Wave 2 is smaller. I know everyone (or most everyone) was expecting a small wave 1 as a test with a larger wave 2 and 3 to follow. If wave 1 was around 2k slots and wave 2 is 1k (half the size). If the rest of the wave are this small, that means only 7k or so total trucks for 2022.

 

[LightningJoe]

Just added my order info. CA-based, wanted a Pro but they sold out so I settled for an XLT instead.

 

[rdr854]

I do not think Wave 2 is smaller. My dealer had had one for Wave 1 and has 3 for Wave 2. I think that the sample size is too small to accurately determine Ford’s methodology. This may be because some forum members do not want to provide what they may feel is personal information

 

[Lavaorange]

Likely some correlation between the number of active forum participants and levels of enthusiasm for the Lightning. Enthusiasts are more likely to be early reservation holders and be on this forum? Just a theory of course.

 

[TaxmanHog]

Guesstimate of trim volumes for MY22

 

[KevinC]

Part of why wave 2 might appear smaller is people who were hoping for the pro are taking time to think through things now that the option is gone and might even be opting out. In wave 1 there was possible out-of-stock anxiety causing people to reserve before it was gone. Now all the remaining trims should be amply available for this wave so no rush. It's also still early for the wave. I guess mark your calendar for Feb 3rd.

 

[ProfessorZ]

Does anyone have a theory as to why Wave 2 is smaller. I know everyone (or most everyone) was expecting a small wave 1 as a test with a larger wave 2 and 3 to follow. If wave 1 was around 2k slots and wave 2 is 1k (half the size). If the rest of the wave are this small, that means only 7k or so total trucks for 2022.

I wondered this as well, but I think that is likely because this is a tiny sample size of people who self report on this forum. The vast majority of reservation holders have no idea this even exists. it's going to be incredibly useful as far as timeframes, but can't be extrapolated to statistically represent the whole buyer pool. it makes sense that wave-one holders were the most excited and therefore most likely to self report here once the googled to see if they could see where in line they stand.

 

[ProfessorZ]

Guesstimate of trim volumes for MY22

what is the 15,000 basis from? is that meant to be 150,000?

 

[sotek2345]

what is the 15,000 basis from? is that meant to be 150,000?

There was a rumor that 2022 model year production would be around 15k a while back. Darren Palmer said that number was wrong (but didn't give a better one). We know 2022 model year is only a partial year for production and that they are ramping up, so 15k to 20k is still a safe bet (my money is on closer to 20k.

150k is the run rate they are targeting to get to by mid 2023. If they can hit that, it would be something like 100k to 130k trucks for MY2023

 

[Sam James]

One fucking report for all of Missouri. Would love for @Ford Motor Company to take a second and explain why they don't want truck & EV enthusiasts living in the Midwest to advertise to other truck enthusiasts. Get people used to what is coming by shipping the to non-ZEV states, Ford!

 

[rdr854]

One fucking report for all of Missouri. Would love for @Ford Motor Company to take a second and explain why they don't want truck & EV enthusiasts living in the Midwest to advertise to other truck enthusiasts. Get people used to what is coming by shipping the to non-ZEV states, Ford!

And the chart shows 1 for Virginia. I know that there are more out there for Virginia (I have not put my data in the chart) - even if it were to be an average of one per dealer. The members of this forum are just too small of a group to be a good statistical sample of the general population in the US that would be interested in the Lightning.

 

[syrc]

was on fence since i love my pb lariat, but ended up wave #2, #2 in line at my bay area dealer, they confirmed that i'm in, so guess lighting it is! extended range lariat in iced blue silver.

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